[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]
CIA Korean War failure
http://www.washtimes.com/national/ (Inside the Ring column)
CIA China failure
The CIA released an embarrassing report this week in its in-house
journal showing, once again, how CIA analyses of China are not only flawed
today but were wrong in several aspects during the Korean War.
We reported recently that a panel of outside experts had found an
"institutional predisposition" by CIA hands in China to underestimate
Chinese military developments. The CIA rejected the criticism.
Now CIA operations officer P.K. Rose, writing in the current issue of
the CIA journal "Studies in Intelligence," has exposed a major CIA failure
during the Korean War to predict Chinese intervention in the conflict, which
he described as a "blunder" that proved to be deadly for U.S. troops.
Throughout China's military buildup on the North Korean border, the CIA
refused to believe intervention would take place. On Oct. 12, 1950, CIA
Office of Records and Estimates Paper 58-50 stated: "While full-scale
Chinese Communist intervention in Korea must be regarded as a continuing
possibility, a consideration of all known factors leads to the conclusion
that barring a Soviet decision for global war, such action is not probable
In the weeks leading up to the Chinese invasion, "numerous intelligence
reports indicated Chinese preparations for military intervention," the
When Chinese military forces began moving into North Korea on Oct. 13
and 14, 1950, the CIA still refused to believe an invasion was imminent. On
Oct. 15, the CIA's Daily Summary stated that "China had no intention of
entering the war in any large-scale fashion," and agency analysts also
adopted the conclusion that the troops were there "to protect the
hydroelectric plants along the Yalu River that provide power to the
Manchurian industrial area."
Astonishingly, even after the massive Chinese assault was launched, the
CIA refused to believe the 498,000 Chinese regular army troops and an
additional 370,000 security troops were part of an invasion.
As U.S. military intelligence from the region reported 12 Chinese
divisions in Korea, "On 24 November, however, National Intelligence Estimate
2/1 stated that China had the capability for large-scale offensive
operations but that there were no indications such an offensive was in the
offing," the article said.
"That same day, the second Chinese offensive started, leaving the 8th
Army fighting for its life and most of the 1st Marine Division surrounded
and threatened with annihilation," the article said.
Join the world’s largest e-mail service with MSN Hotmail.